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Is There Cyclical Bias in Bank Holding Company Risk Ratings

机译:银行控股公司风险评级存在周期性偏差

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This paper examines whether bank holding company (BHC) risk ratings are asymmetrically assigned or biased over business cycles from 1986 to 2003. In a model of ratings determination which accounts for bank characteristics, financial market conditions, past supervisory information, and aggregate macro-economic factors, we find that bank exam ratings exhibit inter-temporal characteristics. First, exam ratings exhibit some evidence of examiner bias for several periods analyzed. When the business cycle turns, examiners sometime depart from standards that they set during the previous phases of the business cycle. However, this bias is not widespread or systematic. Second, exam ratings exhibit some intertia.

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