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Cuba Transition Project: After Castro: Alternative Regimes and U.S. Policy

机译:古巴过渡期项目:卡斯特罗之后:替代政权与美国政策

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This study assesses U.S. policy options toward a Cuba after President Fidel Castro is no longer in power by first examining the crisis that engulfed Cuba in the 1990s, the government's response, and the resulting changes that transformed Cuba into a post-totalitarian state. The study posits three future regime-types and corresponding sub-types that can be extrapolated from Cuba today: (1) a communist successor regime led by hard-line, centrist, and/or reformist leaders$ (2) a military-led successor regime$ and (3) a democratic-transition regime. The analysis then turns to U.S. policy options toward these regime-types and proposes strategies for dealing with each with the objective of speeding Cuba's democratic transition.

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