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Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Bacillary Dysentery from 2005 to 2017 in Zhejiang Province, China

机译:2005至2017年在浙江省2005至2017年脑膜炎痢疾的时尚特征

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摘要

Background: This study aimed to analyze the epidemiological and spatiotemporal characteristics of bacillary dysentery in Zhejiang Province and to provide the basis for its monitoring, prevention and control. Methods: This study included cases registered in China Information System for Diseases Control and Prevention from 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2017 in Zhejiang. Descriptive methods were employed to investigate the long trend of this disease: gender distribution, high-risk population, seasonality, and circular distribution was explored to detect the peak period; incidence maps were made to show the incidence trend of disease at county level; spatial autocorrelation was explored and the regions with autocorrelation were detected; and spatiotemporal scan was conducted to map out the high-risk regions of disease and how long they lasted. Statistical significance was assumed at p value of <0.05. Results: A total of 105,577 cases of bacillary dysentery were included, the incidence declining sharply from 45.84/100,000 to 3.44/100,000 with an obvious seasonal peak from July to October. Males were more predisposed to the infection than females. Pre-education children had the highest proportion among all occupation categories. Incidence in all age groups were negatively correlated with the year (p < 0.001), and the incidences were negatively correlated with the age groups in 2005–2008 (p = 0.022, 0.025, 0.044, and 0.047, respectively). Local autocorrelation showed that counties in Hangzhou were high-risk regions of bacillary dysentery. The spatiotemporal scan indicated that all clusters occurred before 2011, and the most likely cluster for disease was found in Hangzhou, Jiaxing and Huzhou. Conclusions: The incidence of bacillary dysentery in Zhejiang from 2005 to 2017 featured spatiotemporal clustering, and remained high in some areas and among the young population. Findings in this study serve as a panorama of bacillary dysentery in Zhejiang and provide useful information for better interventions and public health planning.
机译:背景:本研究旨在分析浙江省石斛兰痢疾的流行病学和时尚特征,为其监测,预防和控制提供基础。方法:本研究包括2005年1月1日至2017年12月31日在浙江省疾病控制和预防疾病控制和预防信息系统中注册的案件。采用描述性方法来调查这种疾病的长期趋势:探讨了性别分布,高风险人口,季节性和循环分布,以检测高峰期;发病地图显示县级疾病的发生率趋势;探索了空间自相关,并检测到具有自相关的区域;并进行了时尚扫描,以映射出高风险的疾病区域以及它们持续了多长时间。在P值为<0.05时假设统计显着性。结果:共用了105,577例BaCillary Dysentery患者,发病率从45.84 / 100,000到3.44 / 100,000急剧下降,从7月到10月,明显季节性高峰。男性比女性更倾向于感染。教育前儿童在所有职业类别中的比例最高。所有年龄组的发病率与年份呈负相关(P <0.001),发病率与2005 - 2008年年龄群与年龄群相关(P = 0.022,0.025,0.044和0.047)呈负相关。当地自相关显示,杭州的县是大风险性痢疾的高危地区。时空扫描表明,2011年之前发生了所有簇,并且在杭州,嘉兴和湖州发现了最可能的疾病群体。结论:从2005年到2017年浙江大鼠痢疾发病率特色时尚聚类,在某些地区和年轻人中仍然很高。本研究中的调查结果是浙江的脑膜炎痢疾全景,为更好的干预和公共卫生规划提供有用的信息。

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