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Measuring economic activity in China with mobile big data

机译:用移动大数据测量中国经济活动

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摘要

Abstract Emerging trends in the use of smartphones, online mapping applications, and social media, in addition to the geo-located data they generate, provide opportunities to trace users’ socio-economic activities in an unprecedentedly granular and direct fashion and have triggered a revolution in empirical research. These vast mobile data offer new perspectives and approaches to measure economic dynamics, and they are broadening the social science and economics fields. In this paper, we explore the potential for using mobile data to measure economic activity in China from a bottom-up view. First, we build indices for gauging employment and consumer trends based on billions of geo-positioning data. Second, we advance the estimation of offline store foot traffic via location search data derived from Baidu Maps, which is then applied to predict Apple’s revenues in China and to accurately detect box-office fraud. Third, we construct consumption indicators to track trends in various service sector industries and verify them with several existing indicators. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to measure the world’s second-largest economy by mining such unprecedentedly large-scale and fine-granular spatial-temporal data. In this way, our research provides new approaches and insights into measuring economic activity.
机译:摘要在使用智能手机,在线映射应用程序和社交媒体的新兴趋势,除了他们产生的地理位置的数据之外,还提供了以前所未有的粒度和直接时尚追踪用户的社会经济活动的机会,并引发了一场革命在实证研究中。这些庞大的移动数据提供了衡量经济动态的新观点和方法,并正在扩大社会科学和经济学领域。在本文中,我们探讨了使用移动数据从自下而上的视图中衡量中国经济活动的可能性。首先,根据数十亿个地理定位数据,为衡量就业和消费者趋势的索引建立指标。其次,我们通过百度地图的位置搜索数据推进离线商店脚交通的估计,然后应用于预测苹果在中国的收入,并准确地检测箱办公室欺诈。第三,我们建设消费指标以跟踪各种服务业行业的趋势,并验证其几个现有指标。据我们所知,这是第一次通过挖掘这种前所未有的大规模和细粒度的空间数据来衡量世界第二大经济体的研究。通过这种方式,我们的研究为衡量经济活动提供了新的方法和见解。

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