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A Capacity-Restraint Transit Assignment Model When a Predetermination Method Indicates the Invalidity of Time Independence

机译:一种容量约束传输分配模型当预定方法表明时间独立性无效时

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摘要

The statistical independence of time of every two adjacent bus links plays a crucial role in deciding the feasibility of using many mathematical models to analyze urban transit networks. Traditional research generally ignores the time independence that acts as the ground of their models. Assumption is usually made that time independence of every two adjacent links is sound. This is, however, actually groundless and probably causes problematic conclusions reached by corresponding models. Many transit assignment models such as multinomial probit-based models lose their effects when the time independence is not valid. In this paper, a simple method to predetermine the time independence is proposed. Based on the predetermination method, a modified capacity-restraint transit assignment method aimed at engineering practice is put forward and tested through a small contrived network and a case study in Nanjing city, China, respectively. It is found that the slope of regression equation between the mean and standard deviation of normal distribution acts as the indicator of time independence at the same time. Besides, our modified assignment method performs better than the traditional one with more reasonable results while keeping the property of simplicity well.
机译:每两个相邻总线链路的时间统计独立性在决定使用许多数学模型分析城市过境网络的可行性方面发挥着至关重要的作用。传统研究一般忽略了作为其模型的地面的时间独立。通常对每个两个相邻链路的时间独立性的假设是声音。然而,这实际上是毫无根据的,可能会导致相应模型达到的有问题的结论。许多运输分配模型,如多项验证的模型,当时独立无效时失去了它们的效果。在本文中,提出了一种预先确定时间独立性的简单方法。基于预定方法,通过小型专业网络提出和测试了旨在工程实践的修改能力限制转运分配方法,并分别在中国南京市进行案例研究。结果发现,正常分布的平均值和标准偏差之间的回归方程的斜率是同时作为时间独立的指标。此外,我们的修改后的分配方法比传统的分配方法更好,而具有更合理的结果,同时保持简单性的性质。

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