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Drug user dynamics: a compartmental model of drug users for scenario analyses

机译：毒品使用者动态：毒品使用者的隔间模型，用于情景分析

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摘要

A six-typology compartment model of trends in theuduse of illicit drugs in Italy is developed to evaluateudpolicies and interventions through scenario analyses.udInside the big compartments of just-cannabis usersudand multiple drug users, three subpopulations areudtaken into account: the occasional, regular andudintensive user. Moreover, compartments for healthudcare, assisted persons together with a constantudsource (susceptible) are added; removed peopleud(i.e. those who leave drugs for any reason) are put inuda compartment which does not participate in theuddynamics. Flows from the susceptible reservoirudamong the drug-user compartments and to theudremoved or the health care compartments areudstudied in a deterministic linear ODE framework,udwhere parameters are estimated using Italian data.udThis system shows an evolution towards a steadyudstate, the speed of convergence being dependent onudparameters in a fairly visible way. This modeludrepresents a theoretical development in drug policyudanalysis, as it shows the relevance of flux parameters,udwhich are in principle subject to modificationsuddue to institutional efforts, together with a quantitativeudevaluation of their role in the evolution of theudwhole system.

机译：建立了意大利非法药物滥用趋势六型分类模型，以通过情景分析来评估政策和干预措施。 ud在仅大麻吸毒者 ud和多个吸毒者的大隔间中， subtake考虑到：偶尔，经常和密集的用户。此外，还增加了卫生医护室，受助人员以及恒定的医源（易感人群）；被移走的人 ud（即出于任何原因离开毒品的人）被放置在不参与 uddynamics的 uda隔间中。在确定的线性ODE框架中研究了从易受感染的储库从毒品使用者隔室到去除的或医疗隔间的流量，其中参数是使用意大利数据估算的。 ud该系统显示了向稳定的方向发展。 udstate，收敛速度以相当明显的方式取决于 udparameters。该模型代表了毒品政策分析中的理论发展，因为它显示了通量参数的相关性由于设计上的努力，通量参数在原则上会受到修改，并对它们在药物研发过程中的作用进行了定量评估整个系统。

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RossiC; Santoro M; Triolo L;
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年度 2013
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1. Drug user dynamics: A compartmental model of drug users for scenario analyses [J] . SantoroM., TrioloL., RossiC. Drugs: education, prevention, and policy . 2013,第3期

机译：吸毒者动态：用于场景分析的吸毒者隔间模型
2. Estimating numbers of injecting drug users in metropolitan areas for structural analyses of community vulnerability and for assessing relative degrees of service provision for injecting drug users [J] . Samuel R. Friedman, Barbara Tempalski, Hannah Cooper, Journal of urban health . 2004,第3期

机译：估算大都市地区的注射吸毒者数量，以对社区脆弱性进行结构分析，并评估为注射吸毒者提供服务的相对程度
3. Methods to recruit and retain a cohort of young-adult injection drug users for the Third Collaborative Injection Drug Users Study/Drug Users Intervention Trial (CIDUS III/DUIT). [J] . Garfein RS, Swartzendruber A, Ouellet LJ, Drug and alcohol dependence . 2007,第Suppla1期

机译：为第三次协作注射吸毒者研究/吸毒者干预试验（CIDUS III / DUIT）招募和保留一组年轻人注射吸毒者的方法。
4. User-Centered Design Improves the Usability of Drug-Drug Interaction Alerts: A Validation Study in the Real Scenario [C] . Daniel R Luna, Daniel A Rizzato Lede, Luciana Rubin, MEDINFO . 2017

机译：以用户为本的设计提高了药物 - 药物互动警报的可用性：真实情景中的验证研究
5. The predictive relationship of drug-abstinence self-efficacy, health locus of control, drug use severity, and HIV illness severity on readiness to change drug use among out-of-treatment HIV+ drug users. [D] . Hall, Joan. 2007

机译：戒毒HIV +吸毒者中戒毒自我效能，控制的健康场所，药物使用严重性和HIV疾病严重性与准备改变药物使用之间的预测关系。
6. Estimating numbers of injecting drug users in metropolitan areas for structural analyses of community vulnerability and for assessing relative degrees of service provision for injecting drug users [O] . Samuel R. Friedman, Barbara Tempalski, Hannah Cooper, 2004

机译：估算大都市地区的注射毒品使用者数量以进行社区脆弱性的结构分析并评估为注射毒品使用者提供服务的相对程度
7. The Washington Needle Depot: fitting healthcare to injection drug users rather than injection drug users to healthcare: moving from a syringe exchange to syringe distribution model [O] . Dan Small, Andrea Glickman, Galen Rigter, 2010

机译：华盛顿针头仓库：使医疗保健适合注射毒品使用者，而不是使注射毒品使用者适合医疗保健：从注射器交换转变为注射器分配模型
8. A Study of Department of Defense Drug Abuse Prevention and Control Programs. Volume II. Findings, Conclusions and Recommendations. Part D. Identification of Drug Users. Part E. Treatment, Rehabilitation, and Counseling for Drug Users. [R] . Biegel, M. M., Holcomb, J. F. 1975

机译：国防药物滥用预防控制项目研究。第二卷。调查结果，结论和建议。 D部分。吸毒者的身份识别。第E部分。吸毒者的治疗，康复和咨询。

Drug user dynamics: a compartmental model of drug users for scenario analyses

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