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Miracle on the Han River: A Regression Analysis of the Effect of Chaebol Dominance on South Korea’s Economic Growth

机译:汉江奇迹:财阀主导地位对韩国经济增长影响的回归分析

摘要

How did Korea, one of the poorest countries in the world in the 1960s, become a model of success for developing economies just five decades later? This paper analyzes the role that chaebols, large Korean conglomerates, played in bringing about robust economic growth to the country since the conclusion of the Korean War. The broad research question was: What is the effect of chaebols’ dominance in the Korean economy on Korea’s growth rate? I argue that chaebols have had a positive impact on Korea’s growth rate by being the main drivers of Korea’s export-oriented industrialization, achieved through economies of scale. I also discuss two most prominent features of chaebols—diversification and vertical integration—and how they enabled chaebols to achieve overall efficiency in production. Using cross-sectional and time-series data, I perform regression analysis to examine the effect of chaebols’ dominance on Korea’s growth rate, compared with the average growth rate of the rest of the world and with Korea’s own long-term average growth rate. The results show that, holding constant exports, education, savings rate, population growth, regime type, and natural resources, the effect of chaebols’ dominance on Korea’s average growth rate was statistically significantly positive when compared with the average growth rate of the rest of the world, but statistically insignificant when compared with Korea’s own average growth rate. The findings of this study present a new perspective on the isolated effect of chaebol dominance on Korea’s economic growth, and lay a foundation for several avenues for future research.
机译:韩国是1960年代世界上最贫穷的国家之一,如何在仅仅五十年后成为发展中经济体成功的典范?本文分析了自朝鲜战争结束以来,大型朝鲜集团财阀在为该国带来强劲的经济增长方面所发挥的作用。广泛的研究问题是:财阀在韩国经济中的统治地位对韩国的增长率有何影响?我认为,财阀通过规模经济成为韩国以出口为导向的工业化的主要推动力,对韩国的增长率产生了积极影响。我还将讨论chaebols的两个最突出的特征-多元化和垂直整合-以及它们如何使chaebols达到生产的整体效率。通过使用横截面和时间序列数据,我进行了回归分析,以考察财阀主导地位对韩国增长率的影响,并将其与世界其他地区的平均增长率以及韩国自身的长期平均增长率进行比较。结果表明,在保持不变的出口,教育,储蓄率,人口增长,政权类型和自然资源不变的情况下,财阀主导地位对韩国平均增长率的影响与其他地区的平均增长率相比在统计学上显着为正世界,但与韩国自己的平均增长率相比在统计上微不足道。这项研究的发现为财阀主导权对韩国经济增长的孤立影响提供了新的视角,并为未来的研究奠定了基础。

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    Jeong Gookjin;

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  • 年度 2015
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