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Economic Growth and Changes in Policies: The Role of Veto Players in Latin American and East Asian Countries

机译：经济增长和政策变化：拉丁美洲和东亚国家的否决权参与者的作用

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The majority of the literature considers that the establishment of stable institutions, providing better levels of security of property rights, is the key-factor to economic growth, taking into account the creation of favorable conditions to new investments and technological developments, especially considering an environment of globalization. In this sense, these "good institutions," or the so-called good governance, are closely related to the maintenance of the status quo, that is, the permanence of political and economic stabilities. On the other hand, economic growth requires, in a large way, political and economic changes to allow reforms, to make it possible. We verify, using statistical methods as Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Least Square in Two-Stages (2QLS), Generalized Method of Moments (GMM), among others, that, despite the relevance of variables associated with good governance, the Brazilian economic growth is related negatively with the large numbers of veto players (agents with power veto) and the same happened to South American and East Asian countries. In some cases, the income growth rate is negatively related to the tenure of the veto players and their drop rate from the government basis. Thus, the weaker capacity to veto political and economic changes were associated to better economic growth rates, which does not mean one must not have institutional stability, but points out that the capacity to change the status quo is fundamental to generate conditions to economic growth in developing countries.
机译：大多数文献认为，考虑到为新投资和技术发展创造有利条件，特别是考虑到环境，建立稳定的机构，提供更好的产权安全水平，是经济增长的关键因素。全球化。从这个意义上讲，这些“良好的制度”或所谓的善治与维持现状密切相关，也就是政治和经济稳定的持久性。另一方面，经济增长在很大程度上需要进行政治和经济变革，以使改革得以实现。我们使用统计方法，例如普通最小二乘（OLS），两阶段最小二乘（2QLS），广义矩（GMM）来验证，尽管与善治相关的变量相关，但巴西经济增长与否决权参与者（拥有否决权的特工）的数量负相关，南美和东亚国家也是如此。在某些情况下，收入增长率与否决权人的任期及其在政府基础上的下降率负相关。因此，否决政治和经济变化的能力减弱与经济增长率提高有关，这并不意味着人们一定不能拥有体制稳定，而是指出改变现状的能力对于创造经济增长条件至关重要。发展中国家。

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    Ferreira Filho José Alexandre;

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  • 年度 2009
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