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首页> 外文OA文献 >インドネシアの水田から発生するメタンガス放出制御のためのCDM事業の実行可能性-費用便益分析を用いたシミュレーション分析-
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インドネシアの水田から発生するメタンガス放出制御のためのCDM事業の実行可能性-費用便益分析を用いたシミュレーション分析-

机译：CDM项目在印度尼西亚控制稻田甲烷排放的可行性-使用成本效益分析进行模拟分析-

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摘要

The study aims to demonstrate financial viability of model Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects tomitigate methane emissions from paddy fields in rural parts of Indonesia and to identify issues in developing CDMprojects. The projects were designed to phase the implementation into three stages over 10 years adopting a stepby-step process to ensure that implementing entities gradually gain confidence and later embark on a much widerand thorough application. The internal rate of return( IRR) of the projects starting with an irrigation block, a wateruseru27s association( WUA) and a WUA Federation were -1.8, 19 and 52 %, respectively for Bantimurung IrrigationArea. The risks associated with recurrent El Niño were judged as primary challenges to the project. Unlikemajor CDM projects in the country such as methane avoidance from wastewater treatment systems and biogas utilizationtypes, an intrinsic nature of the project is its use of an annual plant so that the project benefit is more susceptibleto short-term climatic variability. The wage increase at an annual 8 0xbff10af0ushed the IRR of the project startingwith one WUA down to 7.7 0.000000rom 19 %.0 Bottlenecks in scaling up the project were transaction costsincluding those for negotiating with the participating farmers, as it increases proportionally to the number of farmers.The project is further designed to provide incentive to the farmers by sharing the revenue generated by sales ofthe carbon credit. The analysis indicated that 1) the provision of 50 and 10 USD/ha/year to a head of irrigationblock and an ordinary farmer respectively functioned as an incentive motivation to the farmers to undertake intermittentdrainage; 2) a head of block is more motivated to undertake intermittent drainage with the proportional remuneration;and 3) the incentives were robust against climatic variability under said assumption.
机译：这项研究旨在证明清洁发展机制（CDM）模型项目的财务可行性，以减轻印度尼西亚农村地区稻田的甲烷排放，并确定CDM项目开发中的问题。这些项目的设计目的是在10年中将实施分为三个阶段，采用分步进行的过程，以确保实施实体逐渐获得信任，并随后进行更广泛，更彻底的应用。 Bantimurung灌溉区的项目的内部收益率（IRR）从灌溉块，用水户协会（WUA）和WUA联合会开始分别为-1.8％，19％和52％。与厄尔尼诺现象频发相关的风险被认为是该项目的主要挑战。与该国主要的CDM项目不同，例如避免废水处理系统中的甲烷和沼气利用类型，该项目的内在本质是使用一年生植物，因此该项目的收益更容易受到短期气候变化的影响。每年8 0xbff10af0的工资增长使项目的内部收益率从一个用水户协会下降到7.7 0.000000rom 19％.0扩大项目的瓶颈是交易成本，包括与参与农民谈判的交易成本，因为它成比例增加。该项目还旨在通过分享碳信用额销售产生的收入来激励农民。分析表明：1）分别向灌区负责人和普通农民提供每公顷每年50美元和10美元的费用，这是对农民进行间歇性排水的激励措施； 2）负责人更有动力进行间歇性排水，并按比例获得报酬；并且3）在上述假设下，抵御气候变化的动机很强。

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