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US presidential candidates’ views on unconventional gas and oil: Who has it right?

机译:美国总统候选人对非常规天然气和石油的看法:谁正确?

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摘要

Unconventional oil and gas extraction (from shale, coal, or tight sands) via hydraulic fracturing (often just ‘fracking’) has the potential to transform the US physical and political landscape. This issue has played a role in the 2008 and 2012 US presidential contests and recently emerged as a point of demarcation between the final four democrat and republican contenders for the White House. On the democrat side, broadly, Sanders advocates for a ban on unconventional hydrocarbon development, whilst Clinton advocates for strict regulation but sees opportunities for natural gas in the US’s energy future. Donald Trump and Ted Cruz favour development. I evaluate the extent to which the two presidential nominees and the two runner-ups’ views are justified based on the most recent natural, physical, and social science on this issue. In doing so, I discuss the characterisation of unconventional gas as a ‘bridge fuel’ and unpack what conditions would be necessary for this metaphor of ‘bridging’ to be appropriate. This short communication will hopefully instigate further the debate amongst scholars of energy politics, energy policy, and energy development on the role unconventional oil and gas plays in the US’s energy future and the US’s approach to climate change mitigation.
机译:通过水力压裂(通常只是“压裂”)进行非常规的石油和天然气开采(从页岩,煤炭或致密砂岩中开采)有可能改变美国的自然和政治格局。这个问题在2008年和2012年美国总统大选中发挥了作用,最近成为白宫最后四名民主党人和共和党竞争者之间的分界点。在民主方面,广义上来说,桑德斯主张禁止非常规碳氢化合物的开发,而克林顿主张严格管制,但看到美国能源未来的天然气机会。唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)和特德·克鲁兹(Ted Cruz)支持发展。我根据有关该问题的最新自然科学,自然科学和社会科学评估两位总统候选人和两位亚军观点的合理程度。在此过程中,我讨论了将非常规气体描述为“桥梁燃料”的特征,并解开了什么条件才能使这种“架桥”的比喻合适。这段简短的交流有望在能源政治,能源政策和能源发展的学者之间引发更多的辩论,涉及非常规油气在美国能源未来中的作用以及美国的缓解气候变化方法。

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    Evensen Darrick T.N.;

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  • 年度 2016
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