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The effects of countercyclical fiscal policy: Firm-level evidence from temporary consumption tax cuts in Turkey

机译:反周期财政政策的影响:土耳其临时消费减税的企业级证据

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摘要

The paper investigates the effects of temporary consumption tax cuts using firm-level data. As part of its countercyclical measures implemented during the recent global economic crisis, Turkey temporarily lowered consumption taxes on selected durables. Using data on the change of sales of firms that benefited from this measure and of those that did not over different periods, we perform a difference-in-difference analysis where we also control for various unobservable effects including sector-specific shocks to address potential endogeneity. We find positive and robust effects of consumption tax cuts on the change of firm sales which is consistent with theoretical predictions.
机译:本文使用企业级数据调查了临时消费税削减的影响。作为近期全球经济危机期间实施的反周期措施的一部分,土耳其暂时降低了某些耐用品的消费税。使用受益于此措施的公司和未经历不同时期的公司的销售变化数据,我们进行差异分析,在其中我们还控制了各种不可观察到的影响,包括针对特定行业的冲击以解决潜在的内生性。我们发现消费税削减对公司销售变化的积极影响是有力的,这与理论预测是一致的。

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