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The EU and Iran’s Nuclear Programme: Testing the Limits of Coercive Diplomacy. College of Europe EU Diplomacy Paper 1/2009

机译：欧盟和伊朗的核计划：测试强制外交的限制。欧洲学院欧盟外交文件1/2009

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摘要

The paper analyzes the E-3’s/EU’s diplomatic strategy vis-à-vis Iran and its nuclear programme against the theoretical background of coercive diplomacy. It investigates to what extent the E-3/EU strategy has met the theoretical criteria for coercive diplomacy to succeed. The paper addresses in particular the question why this strategy has so far, despite the “gradual turning of screw“1, not succeeded in dissuading Iran from pursuing fuel cycle activities. I argue that the E-3/EU coercive diplomacy approach vis-à-vis Iran has suffered from certain flaws: the objectivity and the legitimacy of the E-3/EU underlying objective and its specific demand have been seriously challenged not only by Iran and countries of the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) and the New Agenda Coalition (NAC), but also by the fact that with France and the UK the E-3/EU embraces two Nuclear Weapon States (NWS), which has further fuelled the perception of unfairness. Finally, I argue that a “carrots and sticks” policy as pursued by the E-3/EU is unlikely to work out in the Iranian case, taking into account that the E-3/EU demand touches on Iran’s vital interests and on questions of prestige, regional supremacy and nationalism.
机译：本文在强制外交的理论背景下分析了E-3的/欧盟针对伊朗的外交战略及其核计划。它调查了E-3 / EU战略在多大程度上满足了强制外交取得成功的理论标准。该文件特别提出了一个问题，即尽管“逐渐改变了立场” 1，但迄今为止该战略为何未能成功地阻止伊朗进行燃料循环活动。我认为，针对伊朗的E-3 / EU强制性外交方法存在某些缺陷：E-3 / EU基本目标及其具体要求的客观性和合法性不仅受到伊朗的严重挑战，以及不结盟运动（NAM）和新议程联盟（NAC）的国家，而且由于E-3 / EU与法国和英国一起拥有两个核武器国家（NWS），这一事实进一步推动了对不公平的看法。最后，我认为，考虑到E-3 / EU的需求触及伊朗的切身利益和问题，E-3 / EU奉行的“胡萝卜坚持”政策在伊朗案中不太可能奏效。声望，地区至上和民族主义。

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    Tocha Monika.;

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