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The microstructure of the foreign exchange market : the determinants of bid-ask spreads in the foreign exchange market

机译:外汇市场的微观结构:外汇市场中买卖价差的决定因素

摘要

The purpose of this thesis is to shed more light in the FX market microstructure by examining the determinants of bid-ask spread for three currencies pairs, the US dollar/Japanese yen, the British pound/US dollar and the Euro/US dollar in different time zones. I examine the commonality in liquidity with the elaboration of FX market microstructure variables in financial centres across the world (New York, London, Tokyo) based on the quotes of three exchange rate currency pairs over a ten-year period. I use GARCH (1,1) specifications, ICSS algorithm, and vector autoregression analysis to examine the effect of trading activity, exchange rate volatility and inventory holding costs on both quoted and relative spreads. ICSS algorithm results show that intraday spread series are much less volatile compared to the intraday exchange rate series as the number of change points obtained from ICSS algorithm is considerably lower. GARCH (1,1) estimation results of daily and intraday bid-ask spreads, show that the explanatory variables work better when I use higher frequency data (intraday results) however, their explanatory power is significantly lower compared to the results based on the daily sample. This suggests that although daily spreads and intraday spreads have some common determinants there are other factors that determine the behaviour of spreads at high frequencies. VAR results show that there are some differences in the behaviour of the variables at high frequencies compared to the results from the daily sample. A shock in the number of quote revisions has more effect on the spread when short term trading intervals are considered (intra-day) compared to its own shocks. When longer trading intervals are considered (daily) then the shocks in the spread have more effect on the future spread. In other words, trading activity is more informative about the future spread when intra-day trading is considered while past spread is more informative about the future spread when daily trading is considered.
机译:本文的目的是通过研究三种货币对(美元/日元,英镑/美元和欧元/美元)三种货币的买卖价差决定因素,以更深入地了解外汇市场的微观结构。时区。我根据十年内三种汇率货币对的报价,通过详细阐述全球(纽约,伦敦,东京)金融中心的外汇市场微观结构变量来研究流动性的共同性。我使用GARCH(1,1)规范,ICSS算法和向量自回归分析来检查交易活动,汇率波动性和库存持有成本对报价和相对价差的影响。 ICSS算法的结果表明,与日内汇率序列相比,日内价差序列的波动性小得多,因为从ICSS算法获得的变化点数量少得多。 GARCH(1,1)每日和盘中买卖价差的估计结果表明,当我使用较高频率的数据(盘中结果)时,解释变量的效果更好,但与基于每日的结果相比,它们的解释力明显较低。样品。这表明,尽管每日价差和日内价差具有一些共同的决定因素,但还有其他因素可以决定价差在高频率下的表现。 VAR结果表明,与每日样本的结果相比,高频下变量的行为存在一些差异。如果考虑短期交易间隔(当日内),则报价修改数量的震荡与其价差相比,对价差的影响更大。如果考虑(每天)更长的交易间隔,则价差的冲击将对未来价差产生更大的影响。换句话说,当考虑日内交易时,交易活动对未来价差的信息更多,而当考虑每日交易时,过去价差则对未来价差的信息更多。

著录项

  • 作者

    Tsorakidis Nikolaos;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2010
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 English
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