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A Simple Model for Pricing Securities with Equity, Interest-Rate, and Default Risk

机译:用权益,利率和违约风险定价证券的简单模型

摘要

We develop a model for pricing derivative and hybrid securities whose value may depend on different sources of risk, namely, equity, interest-rate, and default risks. In addition to valuing such securities the framework is also useful for extracting probabilities of default (PD) functions from market data. Our model is not based on the stochastic process for the value of the firm [which is unobservable], but on the stochastic process for interest rates and the equity price, which are observable. The model comprises a risk-neutral setting in which the joint process of interest rates and equity are modeled together with the default conditions for security payoffs. The model is embedded on a recombining lattice which makes implementation of the pricing scheme feasible with polynomial complexity. We present a simple approach to calibration of the model to market observable data. The framework is shown to nest many familiar models as special cases. The model is extensible to handling correlated default risk and may be used to value distressed convertible bonds, debt-equity swaps, and credit portfolio products such as CDOs. We present several numerical and calibration examples to demonstrate the applicability and implementation of our approach.
机译:我们开发了一种衍生工具和混合证券的定价模型,其价值可能取决于不同的风险来源,即股权,利率和违约风险。除了对此类证券进行估值外,该框架还可用于从市场数据中提取违约概率(PD)。我们的模型不是基于企业价值的随机过程[不可观察],而是基于利率和股票价格的可观察的随机过程。该模型包括一个风险中性设置,在该模型中,对利率和权益的联合过程以及证券收益的默认条件进行了建模。该模型被嵌入到重组网格中,这使得定价方案的实现具有多项式复杂性。我们提出了一种简单的方法来对模型进行校准,以市场上可观测的数据。该框架显示为嵌套许多熟悉的模型作为特例。该模型可扩展为处理相关的违约风险,并可用于评估不良可转换债券,债务权益掉期交易和信用组合产品(例如CDO)的价值。我们提供了一些数值和校准示例,以证明我们方法的适用性和实现。

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