首页> 外国专利> METHOD OF ESTIMATING PROBABILITIES OF ACCIDENTS IN ITEMS OF ROCKET-AND-SPACE EQUIPMENT USING STOCHASTIC NETWORK MODELS OF OCCURRENCE AND DEVELOPMENT OF EMERGENCY SITUATIONS

METHOD OF ESTIMATING PROBABILITIES OF ACCIDENTS IN ITEMS OF ROCKET-AND-SPACE EQUIPMENT USING STOCHASTIC NETWORK MODELS OF OCCURRENCE AND DEVELOPMENT OF EMERGENCY SITUATIONS

机译:突发事件发生和发展的随机网络模型估算火箭-空间设备中事故的概率的方法

摘要

FIELD: astronautics.;SUBSTANCE: invention relates to a method of estimating probabilities of accidents in items of rocket and space equipment (RSE) using stochastic network models of occurrence and development of emergency situations. In order to implement the method, based on the experience of testing articles of the RSE, models are developed for the onset and development of emergency situations, possible at the testing stages, with the help of which these safety indicators are calculated, compared with required values and, depending on the comparison results, determining the need to implement additional security measures in a certain manner.;EFFECT: enabling obtaining more reliable estimates of safety parameters of articles of RSE in conditions of uncertainty of initial data and deficiency of statistical information on emergency situations and accidents.;1 cl, 2 dwg, 3 tbl
机译:用于紧急情况发生和发展的随机网络模型来估计火箭和空间设备(RSE)物品中的事故概率的方法。为了实施该方法,根据RSE的测试文章的经验,开发了在测试阶段可能发生的紧急情况发生和发展的模型,并根据这些模型计算了这些安全指标,并与所需的进行了比较。值,并根据比较结果确定是否需要以某种方式实施其他安全措施。效果:在初始数据不确定且统计信息不足的情况下,能够获得更可靠的RSE物品安全参数估计值紧急情况和事故。; 1 cl,2 dwg,3 tbl

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