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METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR PHYSICAL-STATISTICAL PREDICTION FOR SUMMER EXTREME TEMPERATURE EVENTS OVER SOUTH KOREA
METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR PHYSICAL-STATISTICAL PREDICTION FOR SUMMER EXTREME TEMPERATURE EVENTS OVER SOUTH KOREA
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机译：韩国夏季极端温度事件的物理统计预测方法和系统
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摘要
A method for predicting physical statistics of the frequency of occurrence of extreme temperatures in summer in Korea and a system for predicting physical statistics of frequency of occurrence of extreme temperatures in Korea are disclosed. According to an embodiment of the present invention, a method for predicting physical statistics for the frequency of occurrence of extreme temperatures in Korea in summer includes the steps of calculating an anomaly sea level temperature for a specific sea area for March to May for each past year, and during a year. Comprising the frequency of occurrence of extreme temperature observed at the predicted point during June to August, and a plurality of sea surface temperature anomalies having a correlation between the frequency of occurrence of the extreme temperature and a reference value or more by multiple linear regression analysis. Checking the calculation area, selecting n sea level areas satisfying the selected correlation condition among the calculation areas (where n is a natural number within 3), and determining the sea level temperature anomaly in each sea level area. And predicting the frequency of occurrence of extreme temperatures in the summer of this year at the predicted points from the predictive models constructed by using them.
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