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METHOD AND DEVICE FOR CALCULATING TELECONNECTION BETWEEN AIR TEMPERATURE AND CLIMATE FACTORS

机译:计算气温和气候因素之间的电话联系的方法和装置

摘要

A method and device for calculating a teleconnection between air temperature and climate factors. The method comprises: upon analyzing a correlation between air temperature and a plurality of climate factors, employing climate factors having a global impact and air temperature data having credibility (S1); calculating, by means of a third-order partial correlation coefficient, a variable relation between each climate factor and the air temperature data in a spatial raster (S2); and excluding, by means of a confidence level, an interference factor from a calculation result (S3), so as to obtain climate factors having the greatest impact on temperature changes. The method can more accurately reflect temperature changes in a selected region, and show which climate factors are affecting the temperature of the region. The method is employed such that it is possible to predict future temperature changes in a specific region on the basis of current changes in several climate factors, thereby providing certain reference information for making a prediction about biological yields of vegetation in the region, and improving the accuracy of risk prediction regarding agricultural and forestry production. The device employing the method also achieves the same effects.
机译:一种计算空气温度和气候因素之间的遥相关的方法和装置。该方法包括:在分析气温和多个气候因素之间的相关性时,采用具有全球影响的气候因素和具有可信度的气温数据(S1);借助三阶偏相关系数,计算空间栅格中每个气候因子与气温数据之间的变量关系(S2);通过置信度从计算结果中排除干扰因子(S3),以获得对温度变化影响最大的气候因子。该方法可以更准确地反映所选区域的温度变化,并显示哪些气候因素正在影响该区域的温度。采用该方法使得可以根据几种气候因素的当前变化来预测特定区域的未来温度变化,从而为预测该区域植被的生物产量提供某些参考信息,并改善关于农业和林业生产的风险预测的准确性。采用该方法的装置也达到相同的效果。

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