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Support vector machine enhanced models for short-term wind farm generation forecasting

机译:支持向量机增强模型,用于短期风电场发电量预测

摘要

Systems and methods for forecasting wind farm power generation are disclosed. Via use of a support vector machine (SVM) enhanced Markov model, short-term wind power generation forecasts may be generated. Exemplary approaches accurately account for wind ramp-up and ramp-down, as well as diurnal non-stationarity and seasonality of wind power generation. Via use of the disclosed forecasting approaches, utilities and grid managers can make improved decisions relating to electrical power generation and transmission, thus reducing costs and reducing pollution.
机译:公开了用于预测风电场发电量的系统和方法。通过使用支持向量机(SVM)增强的马尔可夫模型,可以生成短期风力发电预测。示例性方法准确地考虑了风力的上升和下降,以及风力发电的昼夜不平稳性和季节性。通过使用所公开的预测方法,公用事业和电网管理者可以做出有关发电和输电的改进决策,从而降低成本并减少污染。

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