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Methodology for building realistic numerical forward stratigraphic models in data sparse environment

机译:在数据稀疏环境中建立逼真的数值正向地层模型的方法

摘要

Disclosed is a method and system for identifying simulated basin results and associated input parameter values for simulation of geographic basins by a stratigraphic forward model simulation program that are most likely to represent the actual basin by treating inputs and outputs of the stratigraphic forward model simulation program in a unified manner. An embodiment may calculate probability distributions for input parameters and validation data, and calculate likelihoods of simulated basins as a combination of the combination of the probabilities of the input parameters used to create the simulated basin and of the combination of the probabilities simulation validation results of the simulated basin. An embodiment may then select most likely simulation model result basins based on the results having a higher calculated likelihood. The most likely simulated basins may be used for analysis of exploration and/or production decisions without the need for additional, expensive testing on the actual basin.
机译:公开了一种用于通过地层正向模型模拟程序识别模拟盆地结果和相关输入参数值以用于地理盆地模拟的方法和系统,该方法和系统最有可能通过处理地层正向模型模拟程序的输入和输出来代表实际盆地。统一的方式。实施例可以计算输入参数和验证数据的概率分布,并计算模拟盆地的可能性,作为用于创建模拟盆地的输入参数的概率的组合和该模拟盆地的概率模拟验证结果的组合。模拟盆地。实施例然后可以基于具有更高的计算似然性的结果来选择最可能的仿真模型结果盆地。最可能的模拟盆地可用于分析勘探和/或生产决策,而无需在实际盆地上进行额外的昂贵测试。

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