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METHOD OF FORECASTING NEW PRODUCT'S LIFE CYCLE BASED ON PRODUCT'S PROPERTY USING SMART GROWTH MODEL

机译:基于智能增长模型的基于产品属性的新产品生命周期预测方法

摘要

The present invention relates to an apparatus and a method to predict a life cycle of a product based on the product properties. An embodiment of the present invention provides an apparatus to predict the life cycle of a new product. The apparatus comprises: a product property database which stores the product property variable value for each product; a prediction module (1040) which uses the product property variable value as a variable and uses a mixed ensemble model of at least two regression models to predict p (innovation coefficient) and q (imitation coefficient) of a Bass Model, and predicts the life cycle of a new product using the p and the q; and a display unit which displays the predicted life cycle of the new product.
机译:本发明涉及一种基于产品特性来预测产品寿命的设备和方法。本发明的实施例提供了一种预测新产品的生命周期的设备。该装置包括:产品属性数据库,其存储每个产品的产品属性变量值;以及预测模块(1040),其使用产品属性变量值作为变量,并使用至少两个回归模型的混合集成模型来预测Bass模型的p(创新系数)和q(仿制系数),并预测寿命使用p和q循环新产品;显示单元显示新产品的预测寿命。

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