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Forecasting and analytical device for medium and long term forecasting the development of the drug situation in the region

机译：中长期预测该地区毒品形势的预测分析装置

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摘要

Forecasting and analytical unit of medium- and long-term forecasting possible to the user to construct medium-term forecast of the drug situation in the region. The technical problem is solved, automation of a number of operations are regularly carried out on the workstation analyst, implementation of construction of different scenarios, depending on the drug situation in the social and economic development of the region, increasing the efficiency and quality of analytical data processing, increase operational efficiency and support the validity of management decisions. This object is achieved in that the analytical device Prognozno medium- and long-term prediction comprises; Subsystem selection and analytical data processing that implements the methods of forecasting performance of anesthesia society based on the selected scenario of socio-economic development of the region;; Subsystem configuration parameters of the model, which is the scenario indicators of socio-economic, political, psychological and social development, providing forecasting scenario outcomes through the use of methods of forecasting of time series; wherein; Each of the subsystems associated with the display data and presentation unit, storage unit model parameters associated with the storage unit,; The subsystem selection and analytical data includes user request processing unit forming the prediction parameters based on user requests associated with the simulated calculation unit processes.; Subsystem setting model parameters includes downloading unit model parameters associated with the control unit and displaying the model parameters.
机译：用户可以通过中长期预测的预测和分析单元来构建对该地区毒品形势的中期预测。解决了技术问题，在工作站分析仪上定期进行多项操作的自动化，根据该地区社会和经济发展中的毒品情况，实施了不同方案的构建，提高了分析的效率和质量数据处理，提高运营效率并支持管理决策的有效性。该目的的实现是因为分析装置Prognozno的中长期预测包括：子系统选择和分析数据处理，该方法将根据选定的该地区社会经济发展情况实施预测麻醉社会绩效的方法;该模型的子系统配置参数，是社会经济，政治，心理和社会发展的情景指标，通过使用时间序列预测方法提供预测情景结果;其中;与显示数据和表示单元相关联的每个子系统，与存储单元相关联的存储单元模型参数;子系统选择和分析数据包括用户请求处理单元，该用户请求处理单元基于与模拟的计算单元过程相关联的用户请求来形成预测参数。子系统设置模型参数包括下载与控制单元关联的单元模型参数并显示模型参数。

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