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The statistical decision approach to natural disaster forecast
The statistical decision approach to natural disaster forecast
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机译:自然灾害预报的统计决策方法
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摘要
Relates to a combination-type statistical conclusion approach to systems and methods for assessing natural disasters, the risks associated with the risk of hurricane wind in particular. A step of synthesizing statistically storm lane number of passing through the radius of the given point of interest, one embodiment of a method for predicting the velocity distribution within a predetermined distance from the point of interest is the storm path many a step produces an output by performing a deterministic simulations of wind intensity along each path, represents the velocity distribution along each path, and along each path in within a predetermined distance from the point of interest by using the output I includes the steps of estimating a probability distribution of wind speeds the overall combination of the velocity distribution Te.
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