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Application of discrete choice theory to forecasting aircraft retirements and fleet composition
Application of discrete choice theory to forecasting aircraft retirements and fleet composition
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机译：离散选择理论在飞机报废和机队组成预测中的应用
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摘要
An apparatus and method for forecasting aircraft fleet composition, aircraft retirements and fleet spares requirements, includes obtaining aircraft fleet data, obtaining data on independent variables, determining a cycle indicator, determining the operation type of the aircraft, estimating the model using certain estimation steps using the aircraft fleet data, examining and updating the model based on changes in the independent variables, and forecasting on a year-to-year basis by age and operation cohort.
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