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Estimating Probabilities of Events in Sponsored Search Using Adaptive Models

机译:使用自适应模型估计赞助搜索中事件的概率

摘要

A machine-learning method for estimating probability of a click event in online advertising systems by computing and comparing an aggregated predictive model (a global model) and one or more data-wise sliced predictive models (local models). The method comprises receiving training data having a plurality of features stored in a feature set and constructing a global predictive model that estimates the probability of a click event for the processed feature set. Then, partitioning the global predictive model into one or more data-wise sliced training sets for training a local model from each of the data-wise slices, and then determining whether a particular local model estimates probability of click event for the feature set better than the global model. A given feature set may be collected from historical data, and may comprise a feature vector for a plurality of query-advertisement pairs and a corresponding indicator that represents a click on the advertisement.
机译:一种通过计算并比较汇总的预测模型(全局模型)和一个或多个按数据切片的预测模型(局部模型)来估计在线广告系统中点击事件的概率的机器学习方法。该方法包括:接收具有存储在特征集中的多个特征的训练数据;以及构造全局预测模型,该全局预测模型为处理后的特征集估计点击事件的概率。然后,将全局预测模型划分为一个或多个按数据方式切片的训练集,以从每个按数据方式切片中训练局部模型,然后确定特定的局部模型是否估计比该特征集更好的点击事件概率全局模型。给定的特征集可以从历史数据中收集,并且可以包括用于多个查询-广告对的特征向量和表示广告上的点击的相应指示符。

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