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Systems, methods and computer program products for modeling uncertain future demand, supply and associated profitability of a good

机译:用于对商品的不确定的未来需求,供应和相关的获利能力进行建模的系统,方法和计算机程序产品

摘要

A method is provided that includes modeling future demand and/or future supply for a good at one or more segments of a period of time. In accordance with the method, future demand/supply at a respective time segment is modeled based upon a price sensitivity distribution of a unit purchase of the good, as well as a market potential distribution of a number of units of the good in a market associated with the good, during the respective time segment. The price sensitivity distribution and/or the market potential distribution for a respective time segment is based upon a growth rate and an uncertainty for the respective time segment. The method can further include modeling cost and/or profitability of the good at a respective time segment. Profitability can be modeled based upon the demand model and the cost model for the respective time segment.
机译:提供了一种方法,该方法包括在一段时间的一个或多个段中对商品的未来需求和/或未来供应进行建模。根据该方法,基于商品的单位购买的价格敏感度分布以及相关市场中商品的多个单位的市场潜力分布,对各个时间段的未来需求/供应进行建模。在各个时间段内表现良好。各个时间段的价格敏感性分布和/或市场潜力分布是基于各个时间段的增长率和不确定性。该方法可以进一步包括在相应的时间段对商品的成本和/或获利能力建模。可以基于各个时间段的需求模型和成本模型对获利能力进行建模。

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