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Time serial event forecasting manner, the time serial event forecasting device, the time serial event forecasting program and computer reading possible record media

机译：时间序列事件的预测方式，时间序列事件的预测装置，时间序列事件的预测程序和计算机读取可能的记录介质

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摘要

PPROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To execute highly precise event prediction by effectively using the change pattern of states included in the time series data of hourly observed states in event prediction using a decision tree. PSOLUTION: At the time of preparing a decision tree for prediction, a state number change pattern identifying/recording means 12 applies the change pattern of state numbers being the observed values of time series events across a plurality of time continuing in several minutes at predetermined time with state number change pattern identification numbers for identifying each of them, and a state number change pattern identification number time serialization recording means 13 records the time serialized data of the identification numbers, and a decision tree preparing means 15 prepares a decision tree by including the state number change pattern identification numbers as one of attribute values. A decision tree use predicting means 16 includes the change pattern of the state numbers until the current point of time in conditions at the time of tracing the decision tree to obtain the predicted values of events in the future from the decision tree. PCOPYRIGHT: (C)2004,JPO&NCIPI

机译：

要解决的问题：通过使用决策树在事件预测中有效使用每小时观察到的状态的时间序列数据中包含的状态的变化模式来执行高精度的事件预测。

解决方案：在准备用于预测的决策树时，状态数变化模式识别/记录装置12在连续数分钟的多个时间上应用作为时间序列事件的观测值的状态数变化模式。在预定时间具有用于识别它们中的每个的状态号改变模式识别号，并且状态号改变模式识别号时间序列化记录装置13记录识别号的时间序列化数据，并且决策树准备装置15准备决策树通过将状态号改变模式识别号包括为属性值之一。决策树使用预测装置16在追踪决策树以从决策树获得将来事件的预测值的条件下，包括直到当前时间点为止的状态数的变化模式。

版权：（C）2004，日本特许厅和日本国家唱片公司展开▼

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公开/公告号JP4213950B2

专利类型
公开/公告日2009-01-28

原文格式PDF
申请/专利权人日本電信電話株式会社;
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申请/专利号JP20020352462
发明设计人金澤明浩;市河研一;
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申请日2002-12-04
分类号G06N5/04;G06Q50;G06Q10;G08G1;
国家 JP
入库时间 2022-08-21 19:37:45

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