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POWER TRANSACTION RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM AND POWER TRANSACTION RISK MANAGEMENT METHOD

机译:电力交易风险管理系统及电力交易风险管理方法

摘要

PPROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To provide a power transaction risk management system which measures the market risk accompanied with power transactions and maximizes earnings while keeping the risk smaller than an allowable value. PSOLUTION: The power transaction management system is provided with; a means 102 which evaluates and inputs a predicted value 100B of power demand, a power price 100C in a spot market, and the cost function, fuel price, fixed expenses, etc. 100A of a generator for use; a means 104 which models a future random variation of the power price from the past variation of the power price; a means 105 which calculates earnings or the like resulting from power dealings; a means 106 which evaluates the risk resulting from the random variation of the power price; a means 109 which constructs a proper power portfolio; a means 111 which re-evaluates the value of the portfolio everyday; a means 108 which rearranges the portfolio in order to reduce the risk; and a means 114 which determines the price of a derivative for a risk hedge. PCOPYRIGHT: (C)2004,JPO&NCIPI
机译:

要解决的问题:提供一种电力交易风险管理系统,该系统可以测量伴随电力交易的市场风险,并在使风险小于允许值的同时最大化收益。

解决方案:带有电力交易管理系统;装置102,其评估并输入电力需求的预测值100B,现货市场中的电力价格100C以及成本函数,燃料价格,固定费用等。使用的发电机100A;装置104,它根据电价的过去变化模拟电价的未来随机变化;装置105,其计算电力交易产生的收益等;评估由电价的随机变化引起的风险的装置106;装置109,其构建适当的功率组合;装置111,其每天重新评估投资组合的价值;装置108,其重新安排投资组合以降低风险;装置114确定用于风险对冲的衍生工具的价格。

版权:(C)2004,日本特许厅和日本国家唱片公司

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