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METHOD AND DEVICE FOR TIME SEQUENTIAL PREDICTION BASED ON TREND

机译:基于趋势的时间序列预测的方法和装置

摘要

PURPOSE: To enable high-accuracy upturn/downturn prediction by a time sequential predictive method regarding the upturn/downturn trend of a value as more important than conventional time sequential values themselves by providing a means for predicting a time sequential tread component to be the object of prediction and a means for performing the time sequential upturn/downturn prediction of the predicting object. CONSTITUTION: This predictive device consists of a time sequential input means 101, a trend predicting means 102 and an upturn/downturn predicting means 103, and is provided with either one or both of a predicted result display means 104 and a predicted result output means 105. The time sequential input means 101 inputs the time sequence of merchandise prices from the outside. It is inputted from an external database or data supplying device through communication equipment, for example. At the trend predicting means 102 for predicting the trend component, the predictive value of the value in the future for the trend component of the predictive object time sequence is calculated. At the upturn/downturn predicting means 103, it is predicted by using the predictive value of the trend component and the real value of the predictive object time sequence whether the value of the predictive object time sequence in the future gets upturn or downturn from the present real value.
机译:目的:通过一种时序预测方法实现高精度的上翻/下翻预测,该方法将值的上/下趋向比传统的时序值本身更重要,方法是提供一种预测作为对象的时序下胎面分量的方法预测方法和用于执行预测对象的时间顺序向上/向下预测的装置。构成:该预测装置由时间顺序输入装置101,趋势预测装置102和上/下转预测装置103组成,并且具有预测结果显示装置104和预测结果输出装置105中的一个或两个。时间顺序输入装置101从外部输入商品价格的时间顺序。例如,它是通过通信设备从外部数据库或数据提供设备输入的。在用于预测趋势成分的趋势预测装置102处,计算预测对象时间序列的趋势成分的将来值的预测值。在上升/下降预测装置103中,通过使用趋势分量的预测值和预测对象时间序列的实际值来预测未来的预测对象时间序列的值是从当前起是向上还是向下。实际价值。

著录项

  • 公开/公告号JPH0895948A

    专利类型

  • 公开/公告日1996-04-12

    原文格式PDF

  • 申请/专利权人 HITACHI LTD;

    申请/专利号JP19940232774

  • 发明设计人 MAKI HIDEYUKI;YOSHIHARA IKUO;

    申请日1994-09-28

  • 分类号G06F17/00;

  • 国家 JP

  • 入库时间 2022-08-22 03:56:13

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