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DEVICE AND METHOD FOR DYNAMIC-ORIENTED DIAGNOSTICS OF CLIMATE PREDICTION MODEL ON A SUBSEASONAL SCALE

机译:在灾区规模上实现气候预测模型的动态导向诊断的装置和方法

摘要

According to one embodiment, there is provided a climate analysis apparatus for diagnosing Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) simulation performance of a climate prediction model, comprising: an acquisition unit configured to acquire weather information; a processing unit for diagnosing simulation performance of the climate prediction model based on the weather information; And an output unit for outputting the simulation performance, wherein the processing unit, through the acquisition unit, the weather prediction information and climate observation equipment predicted by the climate prediction model in a first region in a first period in the first region Obtaining the weather observation information observed in the first period, on the basis of the MJO index, obtaining the predicted MJO information corresponding to the predetermined phase from the weather forecast information, and on the basis of the MJO index, from the weather observation information Obtaining the observed MJO information corresponding to a predetermined phase, and analyzing the MJO information including the observed MJO information and the predicted MJO information and/or at least one or more determination indicators derived from the MJO information according to a comparison criterion to analyze the climate Diagnose the simulation performance of the prediction model, but the MJO information includes weather information corresponding to Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR), upper wind field (U200) and lower wind field (U850), and the MJO index is in the MJO information. It is obtained according to an EOF (Empirical Orthogonal Function) analysis method based on the included weather information.
机译:根据一个实施例,提供了一种用于诊断气候预测模型的Madden-julian振荡(MJO)模拟性能的气候分析装置,包括:采集单元,被配置为获取天气信息;一种用于诊断基于天气信息的气候预测模型模拟性能的处理单元;和输出用于输出模拟性能的输出单元,其中处理单元通过采集单元,在第一区域的第一阶段中的第一个区域中的气候预测模型预测的天气预报信息和气候观测设备在获得天气观察中在第一时段中观察到的信息,基于MJO索引,从天气预报信息获得与预定阶段相对应的预测MJO信息,以及在MJO指数的基础上,从获得观察到的MJO信息的天气观察信息对应于预定阶段,并根据比较标准分析包括观察到的MJO信息和预测的MJO信息的MJO信息和预测的MJO信息和/或从MJO信息导出的至少一个或多个确定指示符,以分析气候诊断模拟性能预测模型,但MJO Infor Mation包括对应于传出的长波辐射(OLR),上风场(U200)和下风场(U850)的天气信息,并且MJO指数处于MJO信息中。根据附录的天气信息,根据EOF(经验正交函数)分析方法获得。

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