• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文会议>2002 ACEEE Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Buildings Aug 18-23, 2002 Pacific Grove, California >Room for Improvement: Increasing the Value of Energy Modeling for Policy Analysis
【24h】

Room for Improvement: Increasing the Value of Energy Modeling for Policy Analysis

机译：改进空间：为政策分析增加能源建模的价值

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

There are expanding national discussions on a critical number of energy-related issues ranging from the importance of reducing air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions to enhancing the nation's energy security and moving towards a competitive electric utility industry. The complex interactions surrounding all of these issues have motivated the development of a relatively large number of energy-economic models to assist policy makers in the framing of appropriate policy directions. But how much do these models really inform the debate? The record of U.S. model-based energy forecasting yields evidence that such models provide biased estimates that tend to reinforce the status quo, inadequately inform policy-makers about new market potential, and serve to constrain the development of innovative policies. This paper reviews some of the reasons for this conclusion and then explores the extent to which energy-economic models may reflect a more dynamic technological diffusion process that encourages new policy development.
机译：从减少空气污染和温室气体排放的重要性到增强国家的能源安全以及走向竞争性的电力公用事业的重要性，越来越多的国家在与能源相关的关键问题上进行讨论。围绕所有这些问题的复杂相互作用促使了相对大量的能源经济模型的发展，以帮助决策者制定适当的政策方向。但是这些模型真正为辩论提供了多少信息？美国基于模型的能源预测的记录表明，此类模型提供的偏向估计往往会加剧现状，不足以使决策者了解新的市场潜力，并会限制创新政策的制定。本文回顾了得出该结论的一些原因，然后探讨了能源经济模型在多大程度上可以反映出鼓励新政策制定的更加动态的技术扩散过程。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号