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Analysis on the Impact of the Fluctuation of the International Gold Prices on the Gold Stocks in Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen A-Share

机译:国际黄金价格波动对中国上海和深圳A股黄金股票的影响分析

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In this paper, five gold stocks in Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share and Comex gold futures are chosen to be the sample, for the purpose of analysing on the impact of the fluctuation of the international gold prices on the gold stocks in Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share. Using the methods of unit root test, Granger causality test, VAR model, impulse response function to comprehensively analyse the relationship between the price change of the international gold futures and the price fluctuation of gold stocks in Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen. The result suggests that there is price-oriented relationship between gold stocks in Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen and international gold futures, the power that international gold futures affect the Gold stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock are stronger than the power that gold stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock affect the international gold futures.
机译:本文以中国上海和深圳的五只黄金股票,A股和Comex黄金期货为样本,以分析国际黄金价格波动对中国上海和深圳的黄金股票的影响。深圳A股。利用单位根检验,格兰杰因果检验,VAR模型,脉冲响应函数的方法,综合分析了国际黄金期货价格变化与中国上海和深圳黄金股票价格波动之间的关系。结果表明,中国沪深两市黄金存量与国际黄金期货之间存在价格导向关系,国际黄金期货对沪深两市黄金存量的影响力强于沪深两市黄金存量。库存影响国际黄金期货。

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