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Keynote 2: Musings on the Holy Grail of Reproducibility

机译:主题演讲2:沉思于可复制性的圣杯

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摘要

Disciplines as diverse as psychology, physics, marketing, and medicine have, for the past few years, been going through a soul-searching over the “reproducibility crisis”. According to a recent survey in Nature, over 70% of researchers have failed in reproducing another scientist's results and more than half have failed in trying to reproduce their own results. But replication of scientific results is the heart of the scientific method; without this cornerstone we do not have science, we have faith and mysticism. Note, however, that reproducibility comes at a steep cost: more rigor, more scrutiny, and tightened controls on what is considered a publishable result will doubtless burden scientists and slow the pace of innovation. In this talk I will discuss the roots of replication problems-replication bias, null aversion, and incentive structures for researchers-and their implications on reproducibility for the field of software engineering. Finally, I will present a few ideas on how we can think about improving the state of our discipline.
机译:在过去的几年中,心理学,物理学,市场营销和医学等各个学科都在对“可再现性危机”进行深入研究。根据最近在《自然》杂志上的一项调查,超过70%的研究人员未能复制另一位科学家的结果,一半以上的研究人员未能试图复制自己的结果。但是复制科学成果是科学方法的核心。没有这个基石,我们就没有科学,就没有信念和神秘主义。但是请注意,可重现性付出了高昂的代价:更严格,更严格的审查以及对被认为是可发布结果的严格控制无疑会给科学家带来负担,并减缓创新步伐。在本次演讲中,我将讨论复制问题的根源-复制偏见,无效厌恶和研究人员的激励结构-以及它们对软件工程领域可再现性的影响。最后,我将提出一些关于如何思考如何改善学科状态的想法。

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