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Utilizing Mesoscale Model Output within the SLAM -P model Framework

机译:在SLAM -P模型框架内利用中尺度模型输出

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The RAMS model was run for the period 5 -13 January 1987. The SLAM-P model then used the RAMS data to simulate the 3 -hour releases on 5 January (1700 -2000 UTC) from St. Cloud. During the first sampling day (1400 UTC 5 January to 1400 UTC 6 January) the observed plume went north -northwest into northern Minnesota. During the second plume day (1400 UTC 6 January to 1400 UTC 7 January) the plume shifted to the south into Nebraska, Kansas and Missouri in response to the development of a low -pressure system over the central plains. During this time, the predicted plume from SLAM-P matched the observed plume (see Table 1) over Kansas and Nebraska very well but was a little slow over southern Missouri. During the third plume day (1400 UTC 7 January to 1400 UTC 8 January) the observed plume continued moving south down into Oklahoma and Arkansas. As shown in table 2, the predicted plume from SLAM -P was within a factor of 2 or 3 of the observed plume. More results will be presented at the conference.
机译:RAMS模型的运行时间为1987年1月5日至13日。SLAM-P模型随后使用RAMS数据模拟了1月5日(1700 -2000 UTC)St.Cloud的3小时排放量。在第一个采样日(1月5日世界标准时间1400 UTC至1月6日世界标准时间1400 UTC)期间,观测到的羽流从西北偏北进入明尼苏达州北部。在第二个羽流日(1月6日1400 UTC至1月7日的1400 UTC)期间,由于中部低压系统的发展,烟流向南转移至内布拉斯加,堪萨斯州和密苏里州。在这段时间内,SLAM-P预测的羽流与堪萨斯州和内布拉斯加州的观测羽流(见表1)非常吻合,但在密苏里州南部略慢。在第三个羽流日(1月7日的1400 UTC至1月8日的1400 UTC)期间,观察到的羽流继续向南移动,进入俄克拉荷马州和阿肯色州。如表2所示,SLAM -P预测的羽流在观察到的羽流的2或3倍之内。更多结果将在会议上介绍。

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