Human-caused Risk Analysis in Ship Grounding Accident

机译：船舶着陆事故中的人为风险分析

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Most survey findings show that a majority of ship grounding accients are ascribed to the error from human and management. In view of the complexity and randomicity of the Human-caused risk and the advantage of bayesian network for solving the problems which are intelligentized and nonlinearize, the Bayesian network for risk assessment is founded in this paper firstly; Then the eliminant algorithm and the radiate clique tree algorithm are used for inference calculation; At last the Human-caused risk assessment system in ship grounding is founded and a instance for assessmen is given to explain its validity.

机译：大多数调查结果表明，大多数船舶着陆专家都将归因于人为和管理方面的错误。鉴于人为风险的复杂性和随机性，以及贝叶斯网络在解决智能化和非线性化问题上的优势，本文首先建立了贝叶斯风险评估网络。然后采用消除算法和辐射集团树算法进行推理计算。最后建立了人为搁浅的船舶着舰风险评估系统，并以评估员为例说明其有效性。

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《The 2nd International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response(第二届风险分析与危机反应国际学术研讨会)》|2009年|681-687|共7页
会议地点 Beijing(CN);Beijing(CN)
作者
Lv Chen-guang; Pu Jin-yun; Hou Yue;
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作者单位

Architecture and Power Engineering College, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan,Hubei Province, 430033, China;

Architecture and Power Engineering College, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan,Hubei Province, 430033, China;

Architecture and Power Engineering College, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan,Hubei Province, 430033, China;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类
关键词
ship grunding; human-caused risk; Bayesian network; radiate clique tree algorithm;

机译：船舶沉没;人为风险贝叶斯网络辐射派树算法;

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1. Risk Control Options Against Ship Collision and Grounding Accidents: A Survey of the State-of-the-Art [J] . Youssef Samy Adly Mansour Naval engineers journal . 2017,第1期

机译：防止船舶撞船和着陆事故的风险控制方案：最新技术调查
2. Towards an evidence-based probabilistic risk model for ship-grounding accidents [J] . Mazaheri Arsham, Montewka Jakub, Kujala Pentti Safety science . 2016,第Null期

机译：建立基于证据的船舶着陆事故概率风险模型
3. Usability of accident and incident reports for evidence-based risk modeling - A case study on ship grounding reports [J] . Mazaheri Arsham, Montewka Jakub, Nisula Jari, Safety science . 2015,第Null期

机译：事故和事故征候报告在基于证据的风险建模中的可用性-船舶停泊报告的案例研究
4. Human-caused Risk Analysis in Ship Grounding Accident [C] . International conference on risk analysis and crisis response . 2009

机译：人类导致船舶接地事故风险分析
5. The risk of accidents and spills at offshore production platforms: A statistical analysis of risk factors and the development of predictive models. [D] . Shultz, John Richard. 1999

机译：离岸生产平台发生事故和泄漏的风险：风险因素的统计分析和预测模型的发展。
6. Bayesian Network-Based Risk Assessment of Single-Phase Grounding Accidents of Power Transmission Lines [O] . Jun Zhang, Haifeng Bian, Huanhuan Zhao, 2020

机译：基于贝叶斯网络的输电线路单相接地事故风险评估
7. Towards an evidence-based probabilistic risk model for ship-grounding accidents [O] . Mazaheri, Arsham, Montewka, Jakub, Kujala, Pentti 2016

机译：建立基于证据的船舶着陆事故概率风险模型

Human-caused Risk Analysis in Ship Grounding Accident

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