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Energy mix with the vulnerability of nuclear power utilization

机译:能源组合与核电利用的脆弱性

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摘要

Domestic supply disruption particularly associated with nuclear energy utilization has been considered as a new risk after Fukushima disaster. Future energy mix should be discussed from the perspective of the interaction between quantitative analysis on vulnerabilities of nuclear systems and policy narratives. This paper proposes a new approach for the analysis on energy mix including the impact of vulnerability of nuclear power utilization based on the basic energy plan in Japan. The model is established using system dynamics for the quantitative analysis on 4 indicators: CO2 emissions, cost, diversification, and nuclear trouble vulnerability. Finally the best mix is derived and discussed through the multiple combination of thermal and nuclear installed capacity. This paper may aid policymakers with an adequately designed energy policy in the country where nuclear power is to be installed.
机译:福岛核灾后,特别是与核能利用有关的国内供应中断被认为是新的风险。应从对核系统脆弱性的定量分析与政策叙述之间的相互作用的角度来讨论未来的能源结构。本文提出了一种基于日本基本能源计划的能源结构分析新方法,包括核电利用脆弱性的影响。利用系统动力学对CO 2 排放,成本,多元化,核事故脆弱性4个指标进行定量分析,建立了该模型。最后,通过火力和核电装机容量的多种组合得出并讨论最佳组合。本文可能会为政策制定者在要安装核电的国家制定适当的能源政策提供帮助。

著录项

  • 来源
  • 会议地点 Kuala Lumpur(MY)
  • 作者

    Shoki Kosai; N. A. Rahim;

  • 作者单位

    Graduate School of Energy Science, Kyoto University, Yoshida Honmachi, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606-8501, Japan;

    UM Power Energy Dedicated Advanced Centre, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, 59990, Malaysia;

  • 会议组织
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Electronic mail;

    机译:电子邮件;;

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