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Energy mix with the vulnerability of nuclear power utilization

机译：能源混合与核电利用脆弱性

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Domestic supply disruption particularly associated with nuclear energy utilization has been considered as a new risk after Fukushima disaster. Future energy mix should be discussed from the perspective of the interaction between quantitative analysis on vulnerabilities of nuclear systems and policy narratives. This paper proposes a new approach for the analysis on energy mix including the impact of vulnerability of nuclear power utilization based on the basic energy plan in Japan. The model is established using system dynamics for the quantitative analysis on 4 indicators: CO_2 emissions, cost, diversification, and nuclear trouble vulnerability. Finally the best mix is derived and discussed through the multiple combination of thermal and nuclear installed capacity. This paper may aid policymakers with an adequately designed energy policy in the country where nuclear power is to be installed.
机译：福岛灾难后，国内供应中断特别关联的核能利用相关的内容被视为新的风险。应从核系统和政策叙述脆弱性之间的相互作用的角度来讨论未来的能量组合。本文提出了一种新的能源混合分析方法，包括基于日本基本能源计划的核电利用脆弱性的影响。该模型是使用系统动态建立的，用于4个指标的定量分析：CO_2排放，成本，多样化和核麻烦脆弱性。最后，通过热和核装机容量的多种组合来源和讨论了最佳组合。本文可以帮助政策制定者在要安装核电的国家/地区的能源政策有充分设计的能源政策。

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