• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文会议>52nd IWCS/Focus International Wire amp; Cable Symposium; Nov 17-20, 2003; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA >Technology Forecasting and the Communication Cable Industry
【24h】

Technology Forecasting and the Communication Cable Industry

机译：技术预测与通信电缆行业

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

Quantitative forecasting techniques, such as Gompertz and Fisher-Pry have been applied to forecasting technology development. A paper at the 51st IWCS reviewed some of the key forecasting typologies and applied quantitative techniques to predicting the future development of international standards for twisted pair cable. This paper addresses more the business attitudes to forecasting obtained though a survey intending to form a reasoned hypothesis about the relationship between quantitative forecasting and companies involved in the design and manufacture of communication cables. The study has been in three parts: firstly a questionnaire was sent to a number of organizations seeking information on knowledge of forecasting typologies, the second part was a follow-up semi-structured questionnaire and the third part was a Delphi-like analysis of expert opinion to triangulate predictions made using quantitative techniques. This paper reports on this study and, while the numbers involved in the survey are low, a reasonable level of confidence is anticipated in the results. The study concludes that knowledge is generally scant but quantitative techniques, as information generation for a multi-option based strategy development, would be highly desirable.
机译：诸如Gompertz和Fisher-Pry的定量预测技术已应用于预测技术的发展。在第51届IWCS上的一篇论文回顾了一些关键的预测类型，并将定量技术应用于预测双绞线国际标准的未来发展。本文旨在探讨通过一项旨在形成定量预测与参与通信电缆设计和制造的公司之间的关系的合理假设的调查而获得的对预测的商业态度。这项研究分为三个部分：首先，向一些寻求有关预测类型知识的信息的组织发送了问卷；第二部分是后续的半结构化问卷；第三部分是类似德尔菲的专家分析。对使用定量技术做出的预测进行三角剖分的观点。本文对这项研究进行了报道，尽管调查涉及的人数很少，但预期结果会具有合理的置信度。该研究得出的结论是，知识通常很少，但是定量技术是非常必要的，因为基于多选项的战略发展需要生成信息。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号