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Forecast sale of goods using the 'BROWN' method

机译:使用“棕色”方法预测商品销售

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In this paper, we emphasize the simulation of a decision making process applied to an international transport company from Romania. Our goal was to establish the most efficient decision, having in view three alternatives: acquisition of one additional truck, acquisition of two additional trucks and the outsourcing supplementary requests of transport services, over the trucks fleet capacity of the company, to other specialized transport companies. In view to determine mathematically the best decision, we applied the decision tree method, in the conditions in which the company's manager offered us a feasibility analysis concerning these alternatives. We also reveal in this paper the opportunity provided by DELMS software functions, which reduce the time involved by solving this decision problem.
机译:在本文中,我们强调模拟应用于罗马尼亚国际运输公司的决策过程。我们的目标是制定最有效的决策,其中考虑了三种选择:购置一辆额外的卡车,购置两辆额外的卡车以及将运输服务的补充要求外包(超出公司的卡车车队能力)到其他专业运输公司。为了从数学上确定最佳决策,我们在公司经理为我们提供了有关这些替代方案的可行性分析的条件下,应用了决策树方法。我们还在本文中揭示了DELMS软件功能提供的机会,这些机会减少了解决此决策问题所需的时间。

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