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首页> 外文会议>Association of State Dam Safety Officials, Inc. 2002 Annual Conference Sep 8-11, 2002 Tampa, Florida >THE BAT SEARCH-FOCUSED OR RANDOM
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THE BAT SEARCH-FOCUSED OR RANDOM

机译：BAT搜索聚焦或随机

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摘要

Monitoring and simulation of existing structures can be improved by utilizing more science. Minimizing the significance of uncertainties that require ongoing cycles of monitoring and simulation should be a goal of dam safety. This can be done by (1) using a more scientific approach when monitoring, (2) utilizing and acquiring aptitudes not currently required by a specific job description (the silent service), (3) performing more realistic simulations, and (4) considering future designs that match a state of vigilance with the significance of remaining uncertainties. The future designs may incorporate multiple uses that create structures massive enough to dwarf older structures that remain susceptible to random and unprecedented events. Most projects one inspects have vestiges of valuable and creative insights. Inspections of new construction and major modifications support this observation. Many of us accumulate private inventories of unique design approaches over time. Synthesis of design variations is apparent but appears limited to ad-hoc solutions of marginal problems in a competitive market place. This suggests that entirely new designs may be awaiting future and replacement projects. Research and development that is not confined to ad-hoc project modifications is necessary if only to assure us other designs with fewer implicit uncertainties are not feasible.
机译：利用更多的科学技术可以改善对现有结构的监视和模拟。将需要持续进行监视和模拟周期的不确定性的重要性降至最低，应是大坝安全的目标。这可以通过（1）进行监视时使用更科学的方法来完成；（2）利用和获取特定工作描述（静默服务）当前不需要的能力；（3）执行更现实的模拟；以及（4）考虑保持警惕状态与不确定性的重要性相匹配的未来设计。未来的设计可能会包含多种用途，这些用途会创造出足够大的结构，从而使仍然容易受到随机和空前事件影响的老式结构相形见war。一个人检查的大多数项目都具有宝贵的和创造性的见解。对新结构和重大修改的检查支持了这一观点。随着时间的推移，我们许多人积累了独特设计方法的私人库存。设计变化的综合是显而易见的，但似乎仅限于竞争市场中边际问题的临时解决方案。这表明全新的设计可能正在等待将来的项目和替换项目。如果仅仅为了确保我们具有较少隐含不确定性的其他设计是不可行的，那么不仅仅限于临时项目修改的研究和开发是必要的。

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