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首页> 外文会议>Biennial International Pipeline Conference(IPC 2004) vol.3; 20041004-08; Calgary(CA) >RISK ASSESSMENT OF PETROLEUM TRANSPORTATION PIPELINE IN SOME TURKISH OIL FIELDS
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RISK ASSESSMENT OF PETROLEUM TRANSPORTATION PIPELINE IN SOME TURKISH OIL FIELDS

机译：某些土耳其油田中石油运输管道的风险评估

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摘要

This study concentrates on risk factors in oil field pipeline systems and covers identification of failure rate and reasons of failure comparison of the failure data, which are collected from oilfield pipeline systems located in South East Turkey. There are many methods and techniques to reduce or eliminate risk factors in pipeline systems. In this study, quantitative risk assessment method, which depends on statistical calculations, was applied. Monte Carlo Simulation was used to assess the risk in the system. This study focuses on identification of relationship between all parameters. History matching frequency, identification of critical factors, probability of density function have been estimated and calculated. The most significant failures are identified as corrosion, third party damage, mechanical failure, operational failure, weather effect and sabotage.
机译：这项研究集中于油田管道系统中的风险因素，并涵盖了从土耳其东南部的油田管道系统收集的故障率的识别和故障数据的故障原因比较。有很多方法和技术可以减少或消除管道系统中的风险因素。在这项研究中，采用了基于统计计算的定量风险评估方法。蒙特卡罗模拟用于评估系统中的风险。这项研究的重点是确定所有参数之间的关系。估计和计算了历史匹配频率，关键因素的识别，密度函数的概率。最重要的故障是腐蚀，第三方损坏，机械故障，操作故障，天气影响和破坏。

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