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A Study on Quantity Tendency of the Population in Beijing

机译:北京市人口数量趋势研究

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摘要

This paper analyzed the number of resident population and the floating population in Beijing firstly. The authors found that the floating population has a significant impact on total population change in Beijing. It is not accurate to establish Logistic model on the total population directly. So the authors establish models on household population and floating population respectively and finally predict quantity tendency of the population in Beijing in the next few years. It is one important task for social management and scholarly research to accurately grasp the tendency of Beijing's population.
机译:本文首先对北京市常住人口和流动人口进行了分析。作者发现,流动人口对北京的总人口变化有重大影响。直接在总人口上建立Logistic模型并不准确。因此,作者分别建立了家庭人口和流动人口的模型,并最终预测了未来几年北京人口的数量趋势。准确把握北京人口的发展趋势,是社会管理和学术研究的重要任务。

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