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首页> 外文会议>Conference on Applications with Weather Satellites Oct 24, 2002 Hangzhou, China >Nowcasting the Development and Evolution of Deep Convection
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Nowcasting the Development and Evolution of Deep Convection

机译：近距离预测深对流的发展和演变

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This paper addresses using satellite data for nowcasting severe storms in the 0-6 hour time frame. Weather, and weather related phenomena extend across a broad range of scales. In meteorology the link between the synoptic scale and the mesoscale is many times a key factor in controlling the intensity of local weather. The only observing tool capable of monitoring weather across those scales (and those scales interactions) is the geostationary satellite! Just as imagery from polar orbiting satellites helped advance understanding of synoptic scale phenomena, imagery from geostationary satellites is advancing our understanding of the mesoscale. A number of important discoveries using geostationary satellite imagery have had a dramatic impact on mesoscale meteorology and, in turn, our ability to provide short term forecasts and warnings for disaster related weather events, including: areas of incipient squall line development; location of regions with high probability of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms; mesoscale convective complexes; and, areas with heavy convective rainfall. As exciting as current capabilities are, satellite systems that will come into being during the next several years will provide capabilities well beyond the present ones.
机译：本文讨论了使用卫星数据在0-6小时的时间范围内进行强风暴的临近预报。天气和与天气相关的现象范围广泛。在气象学中，天气尺度和中尺度之间的联系是控制当地天气强度的关键因素很多时候。对地静止卫星是唯一能够监视这些尺度（以及这些尺度的相互作用）天气的观测工具！正如来自极地轨道卫星的影像有助于增进对天气尺度现象的理解一样，来自对地静止卫星的影像也在促进我们对中尺度的理解。利用对地静止卫星图像的许多重要发现对中尺度气象学产生了巨大影响，进而，我们为灾害相关的天气事件提供短期预报和预警的能力包括：初期线发展领域；龙卷风和雷暴的高发地区的位置；中尺度对流复合体对流降雨的地区。尽管目前的能力令人兴奋，但在未来几年内将要出现的卫星系统将提供远远超过当前能力的能力。

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