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首页> 外文会议>Conference proceedings on transformation of resource-based economy and internationalization of higher education >Long Tail Theory and 'Crowding Out' of Resource-Based Economies
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Long Tail Theory and 'Crowding Out' of Resource-Based Economies

机译：长尾理论与资源型经济的“挤出”

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This article drew on the long tail theory, and designed a "crowding out index "to measure the size of the crowding-out effect in a resource-based economy. There have been a large number of theoretical and empirical researches on resourcebased economy in China. These studies showed the problem of the "resource curse" exists in China's provincial level. The goal of the paper is to find the gap of the industries development between resource-based economies and developed areas of China. This article assumed that "resource curse" exists in resource-based areas on the basis of so many studies by lots of scholars over the years. This paper considered the existence of the "crowding out" in the resource-based regions, and their industrial structure may exist with a characteristic of "smallheaded and short-tailed ". Therefore, the "crowding out" effect can be measured by measuring the "tail" length. This paper used the data of 31 provinces in China in 2005 and established the relative index to reflect the difference of industrial structure of each province. This index used T stand for. We found that T values of resource-based provinces were all negative and these provinces had "small head, shorttail" feature and this feature indicated insufficient development of industries. Therefore, we may conclude that the "crowding out" existed in these regions. So For such regions, the T value can be used to reflect the "crowding out" effect of resource-based sectors over manufacturing industries, and the effect resulted in the manufacturing industry developed insufficiently. This paper argued that the weak linkage of the resource-based industries with other industries caused this characteristic. To achieve rapid transformation of the resources-based economy based on the weak linkage of industries in these regions, varieties of industries should be encouraged, especially the types of manufacturing sector, so as to extend the length of the "tail" industries. When the number of the "tail" industries increases, the number of "head" industries will increase correspondingly, and the T value will be positive. Therefore industrial structure will change accordingly and the whole economy of resource-based can reduce the influence of the resource industries.
机译：本文借鉴了长尾理论，设计了一种“挤出指数”来衡量资源型经济中挤出效应的规模。中国对资源型经济进行了大量的理论和实证研究。这些研究表明，“资源诅咒”问题存在于中国省级。本文的目的是发现资源型经济体与中国发达地区之间的产业发展差距。本文基于多年来许多学者的大量研究，认为“资源诅咒”存在于资源型地区。本文认为资源型地区存在“挤出效应”，其产业结构可能具有“小头短尾”特征。因此，可以通过测量“尾部”长度来测量“挤出”效果。本文利用2005年中国31个省的数据，建立了相对指数，以反映各省产业结构的差异。该索引用T代表。我们发现资源型省份的T值均为负值，这些省份具有“小头，短尾”特征，这一特征表明产业发展不足。因此，我们可以得出结论，这些地区存在“挤出”现象。因此，对于此类区域，T值可用于反映资源型部门对制造业的“挤出效应”，该效应导致制造业发展不足。本文认为，资源型产业与其他产业之间的薄弱联系导致了这一特征。为了在这些地区的产业联系薄弱的基础上实现资源型经济的快速转变，应鼓励产业的种类，特别是制造业的种类，以延长“尾”产业的长度。当“尾”产业的数量增加时，“头”产业的数量将相应地增加，并且T值将为正。因此，产业结构将发生相应的变化，整个资源型经济可以减少资源型产业的影响。

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