UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN FLOOD FORECASTING ANDWARNING SYSTEM USING EXPERT JUDGEMENT AND FUZZY SETTHEORY

机译：基于专家评判和模糊理论的洪水预警系统不确定度分析。

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This paper reports an application of a fuzzy set theory-based method ofrnquantifying uncertainty in real-time flood forecasting. Using experts' qualitative judgementsrnon quality and importance of uncertain parameters, this method estimates the totalrnuncertainty in the output using fuzzy set calculus. Given a bench marking value, the resultingrnfuzzy measure of uncertainty can also be converted to the probabilistic measure ofrnuncertainty.

机译：本文报道了基于模糊集理论的不确定性量化方法在洪水实时预报中的应用。使用专家的定性判断，不确定性参数的质量和重要性，该方法使用模糊集演算来估计输出的总不确定度。给定基准标记值，由此产生的不确定性的模糊度量也可以转换为不确定性的概率度量。

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来源
《European Conference on Safety and Reliability (ESREL 2001); Sep 16-20, 2001; Torino, Italy》|2001年|1-8|共8页
会议地点 Torino(IT);Torino(IT)
作者
Shreedhar Maskey;
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作者单位

International Institute for Infrastructural, Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering (IHE)rnPO Box 3015, 2601 DA, Delft, the NetherlandsrnEmail: maske@ihe.nl;

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会议组织
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类安全科学基础理论;
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UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN FLOOD FORECASTING ANDWARNING SYSTEM USING EXPERT JUDGEMENT AND FUZZY SETTHEORY

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