Toward Understanding Uncertainties in Water Resources Assessment in the Yellow River Basin

机译：黄河流域水资源评价中不确定度的认识。

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摘要

For assessing the water resources variability under long-term changes of climate and land cover, distributed, physically based hydrological model are necessary since they can represent the spatial distribution of associated river basin properties and have the capability to help explore the impact of local land cover changes on the whole basin hydrological cycle. Before quantitative assessment of water resources, it is important to understand and assess the possible uncertainties in the hydrological simulations. The present study applies a distributed model to the Yellow River Basin in China and focuses on exploring the uncertainty in runoff simulations arising from the meteorological inputs, land use changes and initial groundwater conditions.

机译：为了评估气候和土地覆盖的长期变化下的水资源变化，必须使用基于物理的分布式水文模型，因为它们可以表示相关流域特性的空间分布，并且能够帮助探索当地土地覆盖的影响整个流域水文循环的变化。在对水资源进行定量评估之前，重要的是要了解和评估水文模拟中可能存在的不确定性。本研究将分布式模型应用于中国黄河流域，并着重探讨由气象输入，土地利用变化和初始地下水条件引起的径流模拟的不确定性。

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来源
《Flood Forecasting and Water Resources Assessment for IAHS(International Association of Hydrological Sciences)-PUB》|2006年|65-74|共10页
会议地点 Beijing(CN)
作者
Yang Dawen; Shao Weiwei;
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作者单位

State key Laboratory of Hydro-Science and Engineering, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084;

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会议组织
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类水资源调2查与水利规划;
关键词
the Yellow River; water resources assessment; distributed hydrological model; uncertainty analysis;

机译：黄河水资源评估；分布式水文模型不确定性分析;

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Toward Understanding Uncertainties in Water Resources Assessment in the Yellow River Basin

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