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Toward Understanding Uncertainties in Water Resources Assessment in the Yellow River Basin

机译:了解黄河流域水资源评估中的不确定性

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For assessing the water resources variability under long-term changes of climate and land cover, distributed, physically based hydrological model are necessary since they can represent the spatial distribution of associated river basin properties and have the capability to help explore the impact of local land cover changes on the whole basin hydrological cycle. Before quantitative assessment of water resources, it is important to understand and assess the possible uncertainties in the hydrological simulations. The present study applies a distributed model to the Yellow River Basin in China and focuses on exploring the uncertainty in runoff simulations arising from the meteorological inputs, land use changes and initial groundwater conditions.
机译:为了评估气候和陆地覆盖的长期变化下的水资源变化,分布式,物理基础的水文模型是必要的,因为它们可以代表相关的河流流域特性的空间分布,并有能力帮助探索当地陆地覆盖的影响 整个盆地水文循环的变化。 在定量评估水资源之前,重要的是要理解和评估水文模拟中可能的不确定性。 本研究将分布式模型应用于中国黄河流域,专注于探索来自气象投入,土地利用变化和初始地下水条件引起的径流模拟中的不确定性。

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