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Climate change impact on variability of rainfall intensity in the Upper Blue Nile Basin

机译:气候变化对青尼罗河上游流域降雨强度变化的影响

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Due to the unprecedented increased concentration of greenhouse gases (GHGs) resulting from industries in developed countries, the developing countries are vulnerable to the changing climate (Linacre 2003). Often researchers define climate and weather in an interrelated way. In a general definition, climate is what is expected and weather is what we get. It is clear that the changing climate has become a huge obstacle for many countries' development, and especially for developing countries like Ethiopia. The IPCC defines climate change as the state of climate identified by changes in the mean and/or variability of its properties for long periods, whether due to natural activity or as a result of human activity. But UNFCCC defines climate change in a way different to the IPCC definition: as change of climate that is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and that is in addition to the natural climate variability over a comparable time period. Here, the UNFCCC definition is more focused on socio-economic activities than physical changes happening in nature (IPCC 2007, Bates et al. 2008, Abdo et al. 2009). In most cases, including this study, the climate data used for climate change analysis is usually a time series of more than 30-year length.
机译:由于发达国家工业所导致的温室气体(GHGs)的空前集中,发展中国家容易受到气候变化的影响(Linacre 2003)。研究人员通常以相互关联的方式定义气候和天气。一般而言,气候是我们所期望的,天气是我们所得到的。显然,气候变化已成为许多国家发展的巨大障碍,特别是对于埃塞俄比亚这样的发展中国家。政府间气候变化专门委员会将气候变化定义为一种气候状态,这种气候状态是通过其属性的平均值和/或可变性长期变化(无论是自然活动还是人类活动)确定的。但是UNFCCC定义气候变化的方式与IPCC定义不同:气候变化是直接或间接归因于人类活动而改变了全球大气的构成,并且是可比时期内自然气候变化的结果。在这里,《联合国气候变化框架公约》的定义更多地关注社会经济活动,而不是自然界发生的自然变化(IPCC,2007; Bates等,2008; Abdo等,2009)。在包括本研究在内的大多数情况下,用于气候变化分析的气候数据通常是30年以上的时间序列。

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