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A PROBABILISTIC MODEL FOR ASSESSMENT OF THE RELIABILITY BENEFITS FROM TRANSMISSION EXPANSION PROJECTS

机译:输电膨胀项目可靠性评估的概率模型

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摘要

Any investment decision related to transmission reliability could easily be addressed on a rational and quantitative basis within a cost-benefit framework explicitly using data on the value of changes in service reliability to customers. The ultimate determination of poor or adequate transmission reliability performance in value-based planning framework is based on customer's preferences and customer mix that are unique to each transmission system. In the current competitive energy market environment, such an approach makes perfect sense. This paper presents the results of a reliability cost-benefit evaluation performed for capital projects identified to improve supply reliability of a practical transmission system. The reliability cost-worth methodology is illustrated and discussed in some detail.
机译:与传输可靠性相关的任何投资决策都可以在成本效益框架内,以合理和定量的方式轻松地明确使用有关客户的服务可靠性变化价值的数据来解决。在基于价值的计划框架中,最终确定不良或适当的传输可靠性性能是基于每个传输系统特有的客户偏好和客户组合。在当前竞争激烈的能源市场环境中,这种方法很有意义。本文介绍了对基本项目进行的可靠性成本效益评估的结果,这些项目被确定为提高实际传动系统的供应可靠性。对可靠性成本价值方法进行了详细说明和讨论。

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