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Hurricane Loss Estimation Model

机译:飓风损失估算模型

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摘要

The paper presents a methodology to predict hurricane insurance losses for the State of Florida on an annualized basis and for predefined scenarios. Although several loss prediction commercial products exist in the market, this is one of the first public models entirely accessible for scrutiny to the scientific community. The model incorporates the latest state of the art techniques in hurricane prediction, and vulnerability modeling based on engineering criteria. Although the model was developed for Florida, it is applicable to any hurricane prone region. The methodology can also be extended to other types of hazards.
机译:本文提出了一种方法,可以预测佛罗里达州每年的飓风保险损失和预定义的情景。尽管市场上有几种损耗预测的商业产品,但这是首批完全可供科学界审查的公共模型之一。该模型在飓风预测和基于工程标准的漏洞建模中融合了最新的技术水平。尽管该模型是为佛罗里达开发的,但它适用于任何飓风易发地区。该方法还可以扩展到其他类型的危害。

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