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Impacts of Climate Variability on Streamflow in the Yellow River

机译:气候变化对黄河水流的影响

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摘要

This paper examines the impacts of natural climate variability and projected future climatic change induced by human activities upon the regional hydrological regimes of the Yellow River. The natural climate variability impact was studied by comparing the Streamflow on different regional climatic patterns, such as, El Nino/La Nina, Southern Oscillation. The relationships among Streamflow, precipitation, and temperature, obtained with the observed data and ArcGIS Geostatistical Analyst, were used to evaluate the impacts of projected future climatic change on the regional hydrological regimes. The results indicated that the Streamflow was sensitive to both precipitation and temperature and their relationship was nonlinear. This suggests that the water resource problem of the Yellow River Basin is likely to be more critical in future scenarios facing global wanning. The methodology and results of the paper can be used as reference for modern river basin management to maintain the healthy life and proper functions of the river.
机译:本文研究了自然气候变化和人类活动引起的未来气候变化对黄河区域水文状况的影响。通过比较不同区域气候模式(如厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜,南方涛动)上的径流,研究了自然气候变异性的影响。利用观测数据和ArcGIS Geostatistical Analyst获得的流量,降水和温度之间的关系,用于评估预计的未来气候变化对区域水文情势的影响。结果表明,水流对降水和温度均敏感,它们之间的关系是非线性的。这表明在全球面临衰退的未来情况下,黄河流域的水资源问题可能会变得更加严重。本文的方法和结果可为现代流域管理维护河流的健康生活和正常功能提供参考。

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